Sunday, August 20, 2017

Wk.33- Sweet Embraceable Mugu

Opportunity springs eternal on the WTA tour. Simona Halep knows all about it. But Garbine Muguruza knows all about seizing it. And, maybe more importantly, embracing it.

Es miooo!!!!!! It's mine!!!!!!!???????????????????????????????????????????? #champion

A post shared by Garbiñe Muguruza (@garbimuguruza) on



While Muguruza didn't have a perfect week -- which actually was one point away, three times, from ending early in the 3rd Round against Madison Keys -- but she built success upon success as the week went along in Cincinnati. By the time she was finished, she'd taken onto her shoulders the heart of all of Spain (wearing a ribbon to honor the victims of the terror attack that struck Barcelona) and gone on to defeat the world #1 (Karolina Pliskova) and stop the world #2 (Halep) from succeeding her atop the singles rankings, becoming the first player in nearly five years to defeat the top two ranked players in the world in the same event. The result will move her to #3 in the rankings, and #1 in the 2017 points race... and puts the ACTUAL #1 ranking realistically within her grasp.

"I like the big matches. I believe I play well there," Muguruza said. "When I was little girl I was dreaming to be there. That's where I belong."

The Spaniard, though she's been known to "sweat the small stuff" to her own detriment at times, is a player who has often played her best when the pressure was greatest, winning two slam titles, and defeating BOTH Williams Sisters while doing it, too. Halep, though, hasn't quite mastered the art of embracing *her* opportunities. At least not all the way until the end, which has turned more bitter than sweet because of own very human foibles. A perfectionist at heart, the Romanian surely knows in her head how she *wishes* things to go. But, so far, it's been her "alternate" reality that has played out. When she's played for a slam title, which she's done twice and lost both times, and when she's had the #1 ranking within a match win of becoming a reality, which has happened on more than one occasion in 2017 (including when both were at stake in Paris, and she led by a set and 3-0 in the RG final). Rather than bask in the limelight of a great career achievement clutched with both her hands on Sunday, Halep once again found herself apologizing when it was all over. Again.



Finding herself one win away from being the #1-ranked player in the world, Halep essentially failed to post on gameday. In just :56, she was ushered off the stage by Muguruza by the frightfully devastating score of 6-1/6-0. And it really wasn't even that close. In thirteen games, the Romanian had just six winners, but thirty-one unforced errors... or, an average of almost two and a half a game, when her opponent only usually needed four points to lock away a game. And it didn't take long for Halep to commit to this not being her day, either.



That just can't happen. Not to a two-time slam finalist. Not after all the (mostly successful) attempts to "reset" her mind this season. Not after seeing the house cave in on her so many times in similar circumstances, yet always finding a way to push back and get yet another chance.

The thing is, after struggling with expectations (from outside and within), Halep has indeed made great progress this season. Her brief split with coach Darren Cahill set her on the correct course, and she's learned to bounce back from her bad moments. Case in point: after a no-show in the Toronto SF vs. Elina Svitolina, Halep was in fine form in Cincinnati. Well, until she wasn't. And she REALLY wasn't. At some point, you have to wonder if such losses might begin to injure Halep's psyche more than winning the matches to get into position for such achievements actually help her. But we don't appear to be at that point just yet, and might not for quite a while. And that's good news.

After all, while the Spaniard's "innards" aren't quite as unstable as Halep's when the pressure is greatest, Muguruza's path to her current position surely hasn't always been a pretty one. In fact, while the Romanian's partnership with Cahill has generally seemed a hand-in-glove combo (even the "split" seems more a genius coaching tactic than anything, largely because Halep reacted to it precisely how Cahill hoped she would), Muguruza and Sam Sumyk have often existed, usually in full view of the public during in-match coaching timeouts, like oil and water. Or maybe oil and those poor, cute little ducklings that get covered in the stuff when there's an ocean freighter spill. Exactly which of the two was the "oil," and which was the "duckling" in the equation is left up for debate, but Muguruza, aggressive, forward-moving and confident this summer, is surely beginning to resemble the player her talent said she could be a few years ago. So, on some level, all those awkward moments have proved to be "worth it."

So Halep should take heart, and keep working toward the same goal. If it was *too* easy she might get bored, right?

She'll be just five points behind Pliskova in the rankings come Monday, the closest the top two players have been in eight years. And with the Czech having to defend runner-up points at Flushing Meadows, Halep is still likely to take the top spot at some point before the end of the season. But whether or not she can hold onto (and embrace) it might be determined by *how* she gets it. Does she get it by default, backing into #1 because of the failures of the other contenders, or does she take it. She's had many opportunities to do the latter this season, but the reality is that the former is probably more likely to occur.

But Halep can still change that. It's up to her.

Well, unless maybe Muguruza takes the power it out of her hands. In fact, if it continues a few more weeks, the Spaniard's solidifying summer might ultimately play the role of spoiler for more players than just one too-hard-on-herself Swarmette.

Yep, the Most Interesting Tour is stirring yet again. A slam must be right around the corner.


*WEEK 33 CHAMPIONS*
CINCINNATI, OHIO USA (Premier 5/Hard)
S: Garbine Muguruza/ESP def. Simona Halep/ROU 6-1/6-0
D: Chan Yung-Jan/Martina Hingis (TPE/SUI) d. Hsieh Su-Wei/Monica Niculescu (TPE/ROU) 4-6/6-4 [10-7]


PLAYER OF THE WEEK: Garbine Muguruza/ESP
...after opening her run in Cincinnati with wins over Beatriz Haddad, Muguruza's week got *really* interesting. She saved three MP vs. Madison Keys, she went 2:45 against Svetlana Kuznetsova, ended her 0-6 run vs. #1 Karolina Pliskova, and then was the latest to thwart #2 Simona Halep's dreams of reaching the #1 ranking. Her victories over the top two players in the world in the same event marks the 35th time it's happened in tour history. The last time was in 2012 (by Serena, the most recent of twelve such occasions when one of the Sisters pulled it off), and the last time a non-Williams did it was in 2009 (Kuznetsova).

It's been almost two years since the Spaniard reached or won a non-slam event (Beijing '15), but her win here will surely place her in the select group of "favorites" at the Open as she (at the very least) tries to round out her slam season by putting up 4th Round-or-better results at all four majors for the first time (so, no, I *haven't* forgotten about my preseason prediction). Since her Wimbledon title run, Muguruza has reached the Stanford SF, Toronto QF and now won in Cincy. 16-2 since the start of play at SW19, she's gone 25-6 since her springtime three-match losing streak.

With so much in question heading into Flushing Meadows, might Muguruza be the player most willingly providing answers this summer? And, if so, does it mean Muguruza is about to develop a healthy appetite for apples? BIG apples. Stay tuned.
===============================================
RISER: Simona Halep/ROU
...hmmm, but is she really? I guess so. Truthfully, I just couldn't put her in the "Down" category for a second straight week after she followed up a Premier 5 semifinal in Toronto with a Premier 5 final in Cincinnati, even if she did waste *yet another* win-and-you're-in invitation to take the #1 singles ranking. Simona is still the "heart of Backspin," after all, even if she's prone to producing more than a bit of angina.




Setting aside how her week ended vs. Muguruza, it should be noted that Halep *did* reach the final without dropping a set, putting up wins over Taylor Townsend, Anastasija Sevastova, Johanna Konta (ah, they met yet again, but this time she won, though it took six MP to finally put away the Brit in straights) and Sloane Stephens to reach her fourth final of the season. Her 1-3 mark in those finals, much like the even worse mark of a certain Dane in '17, is like a horn blaring across the countryside on what is otherwise a nice summer day. If you just block out all the annoying noise, everything would be perfect. But most beings with full hearing can't do such a thing. And for Simona Halep, who'd likely re-wash a full load of clothes because she forgot to turn *one* sock inside out, it's a situation that she'll likely still be thinking about on what would be considered by everyone else to be a *quiet* afternoon.

So, that she hasn't yet been mentally overloaded by her string of failed attempts to assume the #1 ranking (much like Caro and her many final appearances this season, no matter all the "L" results), and continues to put herself in position to get another chance, has to be looked at as a "glass half full" situation as she head to New York City. At least, for now.

In a few weeks, though... well, let's hope she crosses that bridge before the rest of us have to.


===============================================
SURPRISES: Aleksandra Krunic/SRB and Arina Rodionova/AUS
...meanwhile, in Bracelet Land.

What she said...




Yes, Krunic made some news last week, and it isn't even Fed Cup time. Though it is nearly U.S. Open time, and she's made some headline there, too.



In Cincinnati, tiny fightin' Serb Krunic qualified with victories over Sorana Cirstea and Francesca Schiavone, then left a certain Latvian thunderstruck by winning twelve of fifteen games to close out a 4 & 2 victory. She lost in the 2nd Round to Carla Suarez-Navarro, but will climb to #77 in the rankings, just nine spots (and a little over 100 points) from overtaking #68 Jelena Jankovic to become the top-ranked Serb for the first time in her if-you-haven't-been-paying-close-attention-you've-missed-something-really-fun career.

In New Haven, while others (including herself, actually) were taking part in qualifying for this coming week's event at Yale, Rodionova was *also* busy adding yet another entry to her summer campaign for "most improved player." Even before this weekend, the 27-year old Aussie had already qualified for Wimbledon and gotten her first career slam MD win (saving 7 MP vs. Pavlyuchenkova), reached two WTA doubles finals and her first tour-level singles QF (Nanchang) and reached a career high ranking of #130. While her New Haven run ended via a three-set loss in the opening round against Kristyna Pliskova, Rodionova still managed to have banner weekend since she won Tennis Australia's three-round playoff tournament to win the final WC into the U.S. Open main draw. Actually, Arina only had to play *two* matches, as she got a walkover from Priscilla Hon (who was busy reaching the QF of the $100K in Vancouver), then staged a comeback to defeat 17-year old Destanee Aiava (up a break at 2-0 in the 3rd before Rodionova ran off six straight games) in the semis, then took out 19-year old Lizette Cabrera in the playoff final.

Guess who just won the wildcard into the US Open ☝️ #timetowine #happydays #3rdmaindrawslam #goodyear

A post shared by Arina Rodionova (Vickery) (@arinarodio) on


===============================================
VETERAN: Julia Goerges/GER
...so, which player is the *true* German (on the women's side, at least) to watch at the U.S. Open? The defending champ, or Goerges?

Round ?? @cincytennis #teamjule ??: @jimmie48tennis

A post shared by Julia Goerges?????? (@jgoerges88) on



There she goes again. Already one of the hottest players of the spring/summer, Goerges' QF run in Cincinnati will lift her into a seed for the U.S. Open eight months after she ended 2016 with her fourth straight season-ending ranking between #50 and #75. Last week she put up two Top 10 wins -- over Radwanska and Svitolina -- in the same event for the first time since 2011 in Stuttgart, when she had three (def. Azarenka, Stosur & Wozniacki). While her win over Svitolina was her first Top 5 victory in over two years, Goerges' loss to Sloane Stephens ended any hope of a FOURTH spot in a final in six events. But she still added another Final 8 result to her season total, giving her seven QF in 2017.
===============================================
COMEBACK: Sloane Stephens/USA
...well, this has a familiar ring to it.



Seriously, has anyone ever climbed the rankings as quickly as Stephens has the last few weeks without having a result come at a slam, or having even played in a singles final during the stretch? As recently as two weeks ago, she was ranked outside the Top 900. Back-to-back Premier 5 semifinals in Toronto and Cincinnati have lifted her to, at first, #151, and now #83 come Monday. So much for looking to utilize that injury protected ranking or a wild card to get into tournaments this fall, I guess. Last week, Stephens was at it again. No, I mean literally... she defeated both Lucie Safarova and Petra Kvitova AGAIN, just like she did in Canada, on her way to the Cincy final four, playing without the pressure of expectations (or points defenses), and with her on-court weapons fully charged. Additional wins over Ekaterina Makarova and Julia Goerges put Stephens into that second straight semi, where she was rolled over by an in-form (well, that didn't last, did it?) Simona Halep 2 & 1.

Next scheduled appearance: as a "suddenly-super-floater" in the U.S. Open main draw.
===============================================
FRESH FACE: Taylor Townsend/USA
...the 21-year old had quite the productive week. Not only did she make her way through Cincinnati qualifying with wins over Irina-Camelia Begu and Carina Witthoeft (saving two MP and winning 13/15 games to end the match), then followed up with a MD win over Monica Puig, but she was also given a wild card into the U.S. Open MD by the USTA. Townsend came into 2017 having not posted a WTA MD win since last year's Roland Garros, and that win had been her only such victory since the '15 Indian Wells, where she knocked off Bethanie Mattek-Sands not long after having reached her career high ranking of #94 that February. She slumped and fell all the way out of the Top 300 by the end of 2015.



Townsend has seen something of a turnaround in '17, or at least the early stages of a possible one. She's had MD tour-level wins in Acapulco and Roland Garros, as well as putting together a successful qualifying run in Miami and then knocking off Amanda Anisimova and Roberta Vinci. Within that mix of results, she also reached a $25K challenger final in Florida in May. A two-time junior slam singles finalist (winning the AO title in '12, losing Wimbledon in '13), she's yet to record a 1st Round win at the U.S. Open, having three times lost in qualifying and in the 1st Round in 2014 and '16.
===============================================
DOWN: Mirjana Lucic-Baroni/CRO
...the 35-year old Croat's semifinal runs in Melbourne and Charleston seem so long ago now. But, then again, in "Lucic time," they're barely a blip on the timeline, aren't they?

Still, the seven months that have followed Lucic's first slam semifinal in eighteen years have surely seen the "cooling down" process take hold. After starting '17 on a 17-7 sprint that included there SF and a QF in a five-event stretch, her 1st Round Cincy loss to Carla Suarez-Navarro is her sixth straight defeat. Her last win came via a retirement against Maria Sharapova in the 2nd Round in Rome, and she's gone just 2-8 since her Charleston SF loss to Latvian Thunder. After spending one week in the Top 20 (the first of her career) earlier this year, Lucic has now dropped out of the Top 30. She'll still get an Open seed, though... and she seems to specialize in shocking the world in majors. Hopefully we won't have to wait until 2035 for her to do it again.
===============================================
ITF PLAYERS: Marina Zanevska/BEL and Maria Teresa Torro-Flor/ESP
...Zanevska picked up her biggest career title at the $100K in Vancouver, the last of the North American ITF challenger events leading into the U.S. Open. The 23-year old Ukrainian-born Belgian Waffle opened with a win over Arina Rodionova (who had a very busy week, playing here, and in both New Haven qualifying and Tennis Australia's U.S. Open wild card playoff), and followed it up with victories over Martina Trevisan, Priscilla Hon, Jana Fett and Danka Kovinic in a three-set final. It's Zanevska's fifteenth career ITF win, as she leveled her overall mark in $100K finals, having lost (to Caroline Garcia) in her only other appearance in 2013.



In Montreaux, Switzerland, 25-year old, oft-injured Spaniard Torro-Flor moved into a circuit-leading season tie with Russian Polina Monova by claiming her fifth ITF title of 2017. Her 4-6/6-1/6-2 win over Italy's Deborah Chiesa gives MTTF eighteen career ITF crowns (to her one WTA win in Marrakesh in '14). A Top 50 player three years ago, Torro-Flor ended last season outside the Top 450 after missing three months during the spring and struggling to find her footing after her return. With nearly months of solid play behind her, she's raised her ranking back into the Top 250 with this win.
===============================================
JUNIOR STAR: Sofya Lansere/RUS
...the 16-year old Hordette, a semifinalist in the girls singles at Wimbledon earlier this summer, reached both the singles QF and doubles final in just her second career pro event at the $15K challenger in Moscow. Her appearance in the event was her first in a pro tournament since she played in the same tournament a year ago. The #21-ranked junior (she's yet to earn a WTA ranking) lost in the QF to Kazakh Anna Danilina, who like Lansere was born in Moscow, but notched a 1st Round win over fellow Russian Alena Tarasova. Why mention that, you ask? Well, because Lansere also got a 1st Round win over Tarasova last year in this tournament. Two of her three career pro singles wins have come against her. Go figure.
===============================================
DOUBLES: Chan Yung-Jan/Martina Hingis (TPE/SUI)
...while they're still seeking their first slam title together, Chan & Hingis have been just this side of dominant since they teamed up earlier this season. In Cincinnati, they picked up their sixth '17 title in their sixth final appearance, finishing off a week that included a 10-7 3rd set TB win over Atawo/Vandeweghe in the 2nd Round (Hingis was the Cincy RU w/ CoCo in '16), as well as victories over the #5 (Babos/Hlavackova) and #3 (Safarova/Strycova) seeds, then a 10-7 TB win over unseeded Hsieh/Niculescu in the final. The opening set the pair lost in the final was the only one they dropped all week en route to what was their fourth high-level Premier title this year. Overall, they're 37-6 as a duo, 30-4 in non-slam events, and a somewhat-less-eye-popping 7-2 in majors. The result boosts the vets -- Hingis turns 37 next month -- into first place in the Doubles Points race for the season. Of some note, if Hingis were to find her way to a season-ending #1 finish, it'd be a first in her Hall of Fame career. While she's been the doubles #1 for 66 weeks, and simultaneously singles/doubles #1 for 29, she's never finished a season higher than #2. She was #2 in 1998, '99 and '15, and #3 in '97 and '00. Twice her doubles partners -- Anna Kournikova in '99 and Sania Mirza in '15 -- have finished seasons at #1 to her #2.


===============================================

*U.S. OPEN WILD CARDS*
Kayla Day, USA - the 17-year old won the '16 U.S. Open girls title, and gets her second '17 slam WC (after having won the USTA's AO Playoff Challenge earlier) here, as well as her second straight golden ticket into the U.S. Open MD. She got her maiden slam win in the 1st Round last year over Madison Brengle.
Amandine Hesse, FRA - the 24-year old Pastry receives her second '17 slam WC (w/ RG), looking to improve her career 1-2 MD record at majors. She's 0-1 (2014) at the U.S. Open.
Sonya Kenin, USA - the 18-year is an Open WC for the third straight year, having earned her way in each time: '15 USTA 18s champ, then the USTA's WC Playoff Challenge winner the last two years. Kenin won the $60K Stockton challenger with a victory over fellow Open WC Ashley Kratzer in the final, and was a finaliast at $60K Lexington. She's 0-2 in her U.S. Open MD career.
Ashley Kratzer, USA - the 18-year old Californian makes her slam debut after winning the USTA's 18s National Championship in San Diego.
Brienne Minor, USA - the 19-year old from Illinois is the reigning NCAA women's singles champ, winning the title in her sophomore season at Michigan to become the first African-American NCAA singles champ (and the first woman) since Arthur Ashe in 1965.
Arina Rodionova, AUS - the winner of Tennis Australia's WC playoff tournament, she's now tasked with adding another chapter to a career-best summer run that was highlighted by her saving 7 MP vs. Pavlyuchenkova and getting her first career MD win at a major at Wimbledon.
Maria Sharapova, RUS - the 30-year old Russian will play her first slam match since the '16 AO (QF), having missed seven of the last eight majors due to injury or suspension. Champion in 2006, she last played the U.S. Open in 2014 (4th Rd.), and has been in the Open draw just one other time since 2012. She has six match wins in 2017.
Taylor Townsend, USA - Backspin's 2016 U.S. Open Q-Player of the Week, Townsend is 4-8 in slam MD in her career: 4-4 in Paris, 0-4 elsewhere


Meanwhile...


Farewell, Little MO...










1. Cincinnati 2nd Rd. - Ekaterina Makarova def. Angelique Kerber
...6-4/1-6/7-6(11). Muguruza got the honors at the end of the weekend, but these two stood out during the week for their knock-down, drag-out dramatic battle in the heat. Kerber, still looking for that big win that might right her course for the remainder of the '17 season, is still in search of that elusive "W." She led 2-0 in the 3rd, only to see Makarova charge back to take a 5-2 lead. After saving a MP, the German took things to a deciding tie-break, which she led 3-0.



But the Russian, even while taking a MTO in the breaker, battling a thigh injury, cramping so bad that she went down on the court at one point and facing a Kerber who simply wouldn't give up or give in (aka pulling off a "reverse Simona"), persevered. Ultimately, on her eighth MP, D.C. champ Makarova put the match away with a drop shot.



In the aftermath, she and Elena Vesnina pulled out of the doubles competition, and she lost her next match against Sloane Stephens. Kerber, set to begin her defense of her U.S. Open title in a week, will have to do so from outside the Top 4 seeds. With Muguruza's run, she'll fall out of the Top 5 on Monday.
===============================================
2. Cincinnati 3rd Rd. - Garbine Muguruza def. Madison Keys
...6-4/3-6/7-6(3). In an earlier "do-over" of the Stanford semi lost by Muguruza (3 & 2) vs. an in-form Keys, the Spaniard finally notched her first win in four tries against the Bannerette, saving three MP and going on to become the third woman this year to win a tour-level singles title after having been a point from defeat.
===============================================
3. Cincinnati Final - Garbine Muguruza def. Simona Halep
...6-1/6-0. Muguruza now has more "regular season" tour titles (3) than she does slam wins. Still, 2017 is the very first two-title campaign for the two-time slam champ.


===============================================
4. Cincinnati 1st Rd. - Sloane Stephens def. Lucie Safarova 6-4/7-6(5)
Cincinnati 2nd Rd. - Sloane Stephens def. Petra Kvitova 6-2/6-3
...Stephens and left-handed Czechs haven't mixed particularly well the last two weeks. Well, at least they haven't where the Czechs are concerned. Safarova and Kvitova went a combined 0-4 vs. Stephens in Toronto and Cincy.
===============================================
5. Cincinnati QF - Lucie Safarova/Barbora Strycova def. Ash Barty/Casey Dellacqua
...6-3/7-6(4). The win that pushed Safarova into the doubles #1 ranking, past injured regular partner Bethanie Mattek-Sands. She's the 35th woman to hold the spot, and the fifth Czech -- after Martina Navratilova (who did it while representing the U.S.), Helena Sukova, Jana Novotna and Kveta Peschke. The last to rise so high, Peschke, did so in 2011.


When your nieces bake you a surprise cake of #1! ??????????????

A post shared by Lucie Safarova (@lucie.safarova) on


===============================================
6. Cincinnati 1st Rd. - Petra Kvitova def. Anett Kontaveit
...1-6/7-6(2)/6-3. Kontaveit led 6-1/4-2, and served to make it 5-3. Still, Kvitova, who'll try to win her fourth New Haven title this week, lost in the 2nd Round for the fourth time in her five '17 events, including three consecutive since Wimbledon. But after all she went through to just get back here, Petra isn't about to get down...


===============================================
7. Cincinnati 1st Rd. - Elena Vesnina def. Caroline Garcia
...4-6/6-4/6-4. Vesnina fell to Wozniacki in the 2nd Round, and withdrew from doubles after Makarova's marathon win over Kerber. But at least her comeback from a 4-2 deficit in the 3rd vs. Garcia (who had 3 BP chances at 4-4) made it something other than a totally "lost" week.


===============================================
8. Cincinnati 1st Rd. - Madison Keys def. CoCo Vandeweghe
...6-4/3-6/6-3. Vandeweghe has dropped three straight matches on summer hard court, but two of those have come against an in-form Keys. We'll see in NYC if that makes a difference, I guess.


===============================================
9. Cincinnati 3rd Rd. - Julia Goerges def. Elina Svitolina
...7-5/6-4. The seventh Top 5 win of the German's career, this is her first since 2015 (RG - Wozniacki). Even with this loss, if Muguruza hadn't won the title, Toronto champ Svitolina would have climbed to #3.
===============================================
10. Cincinnati 1st Rd. - Lesia Tsurenko def. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
...5-7/7-6(6)/6-0. Pavlyuchenkova led 7-5/4-1, but this defeat wasn't even her "most squandered" match this week in Cincinnati (see below).
===============================================
11. Cincinnati 1st Rd. - Aleksandra Krunic def. Alona Ostapenko
...6-4/6-2. The Bracelet found herself down 0-3, love/40 in the 1st set after winning just four of the first twenty points. But a three-ace game got her on the board, and she went on to win twelve of the final fifteen games. The frustrated RG champ has now lost three straight, including back-to-back HC losses to the #87 and #70-ranked players in the world.

And since she does prefer "Alona" over "Jelena" -- holding to the Sofia-umm-no-it's-actually-"Sonya" Kenin rule -- I suppose it should be that from here on out.


On the cover of @pastaiga_magazine #me#onthecover#magazine#pastaiga#model#makeup#riga#latvia#2017

A post shared by Jelena Ostapenko (@jelena.ostapenko1997) on


???????? #photoshoottime#great#photo#loveit#curlyhair#model#latviangirl#riga#latvia#2017

A post shared by Jelena Ostapenko (@jelena.ostapenko1997) on


===============================================
12. $15K Graz Final - Astra Sharma def. Vendula Zovincova
...2-6/6-3/6-2. The 21-year old Aussie (and Vanderbilt product) takes home her third career ITF title, her second this season.
===============================================
13. $15K Graz Final - Anna Bondar/Reka-Luca Jani def. Jana Jablonovska/Natalia Vajdova
...6-4/6-4. Reka-Luca Jani! Reka-Luca Jani! Reka-Luca Jani!



The 26-year old Hungarian is now 23-23 in her ITF doubles final career.
===============================================
14. Cincinnati QF - Garbine Muguruza def. Svetlana Kuznetsova
...6-2/5-7/7-5. Yeah, Sveta looks like she's getting prepared for her usual slam experience, as this one lasted 2:45. And she talked about...


????

A post shared by ?? Anna ????? (@annakournikova) on


===============================================




"I used to think I'd want to retire when I have kids, but no. I'm definitely coming back. Walking out there and hearing the crowd, it may seem like nothing. but there's no better feeling in the world."




1. Cincinnati SF - Garbine Muguruza def. KAROLINA PLISKOVA
...6-3/6-2. Muguruza's fourth #1 win of her career was her second over a different top-ranked woman (after def. Kerber at Wimbledon) this season, making her just the second woman to do that (Svitolina '16) since 2011. It ended her sixth match losing streak to the Czech, and prevented a final match-up between the world #1 vs. #2 Halep for the top spot on the WTA computer.
===============================================



2. Cincinnati 2nd Rd. - Ash Barty def. VENUS WILLIAMS
...6-3/2-6/6-2. The Aussie's first Top 10 win allows her to move past countrywoman Sam Stosur (who announced she'll miss the U.S. Open) in the singles rankings. At #42, she'll still be behind top-ranked Australian Dasha Gavrilova at #26. Meanwhile, the loss knocks Venus out of a Top 8 seed for Flushing Meadows.
===============================================
3. Cincinnati 2nd Rd. - HSIEH SU-WEI/Monica Niculescu def. Kristina Mladenovic/Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
...6-7(4)/7-5 [10-8]. It was a "double choke" week for the Russian, as in addition to her squandered singles match she and Mladenovic led 7-6/5-3, 30/15 here before dropping their second of their three summer hard court matches as a duo.
===============================================
4. Cincinnati Final - CHAN YUNG-JAN/Martina Hingis def. HSIEH SU-WEI/Monica Niculescu
...7-5/6-7(3)/6-4. Hingis' only loss in a WD final this season, while partnering Timea Bacsinszky in Biel, was to Hsieh/Niculescu in April.
===============================================
5. $15K Oldenzaal Final - CHIARA SCHOLL def. Albina Khabibulina
...6-1/6-1. 25-year old "ChiChi" wins career ITF title #7.
===============================================
6. $15K Oldenzaal Final - Deborah Kerfs/CHIARA SCHOLL def. Paula Ormaechea/Ana Sofia Sanchez
...7-5/6-3. And Scholl sweeps the titles at the Dutch challenger. This was just the second event back from wrist surgery for Ormaechea, and her first doubles action since the opening week of December last year. The 24-year old Argentine was a Top 60 player in 2013.
===============================================
7. $25K Nonthaburi Final - Chan Chin-Wei/Choi Ji-hee def. VARATCHAYA WONGTEACHCHAI/VARUNYA WONGTEANCHAI
...2-6/6-1 [13-11]. The Thai sisters are now 4-5 in ITF doubles finals. As Varatchaya has gone on to some modest singles success of late, this was their first final as a duo since January '15.
===============================================
8. New Haven Q1 - KRISTYNA PLISKOVA def. ARINA RODIONOVA
...6-2/6-7(6)/6-2. Pliskova's first match back from going up against that fan -- the kind with the blades, not the ones with the "Go Kristyna" banners -- and losing. She went on to qualify for the MD, getting Q3 win over Carina Witthoeft on Sunday. Rodionova was freed up to compete in and win Tennis Australia's U.S. Open wild card tournament.
===============================================
9. Cincinnati 3rd Rd. - KAROLINA PLISKOVA def. Camila Giorgi 6-3/4-6/6-0
Cincinnati QF - KAROLINA PLISKOVA def. Caroline Wozniacki 6-2/6-4
...Pliskova's Friday in Cincinnati, her third 2-0 this season. The other two times (Doha & Eastbourne) she went on to win the title, though.
===============================================


10. New Haven Q1 - Vera Zvonareva def. ANASTASIA RODIONOVA 2-6/6-3/6-1
New Haven Q2 - Magdalena Rybarikova def. Vera Zvonareva 7-5 ret.
...in her sixth event back, Zvonareva gets her first win at a tour event since 2015 before retiring after a tight 1st set vs. the Wimbledon semifinalist. The Russian won a $15K challenger title last month.


===============================================


Surely better than those awful black-and-yellow adidas getups we've seen the last few weeks...



Chakvetadze sighting! Steeeee-rike!

Exiting moment )) yessss!

A post shared by Anna Chakvetadze (@achak87) on








A Personal Note

A post shared by Victoria Azarenka (@vichka35) on





















*2017 WTA TITLES ON MULTIPLE SURFACES*
2 - Elina Svitolina, UKR = Hard,Red Clay
2 - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, RUS = Hard,Red Clay
2 - Karolina Pliskova, CZE = Hard,Grass
2 - Katerina Siniakova, CZE = Hard,Red Clay
2 - GARBINE MUGURUZA, ESP = Grass,Hard

*WINS OVER WORLD #1 & #2 IN EVENT - since 2007*
2007 Miami - S.Williams (#2 Sharapova/#1 Henin)
2008 WTA - V.Williams (#2 Safina/#1 Jankovic)
2009 R.Garros - Kuznetsova (#2 S.Williams/#1 Safina)
2010 Sydney - Dementieva (#2 Safina/#1 S.Williams)
2010 WTA - Clijsters (#2 Zvonareva/#1 Wozniacki)
2012 Madrid - S.Williams (#2 Sharapova/#1 Azarenka)
2012 WTA - S.Williams (#1 Azarenka/#2 Sharapova)
2017 CINCINNATI - MUGURUZA (#1 Ka.Pliskova/#2 Halep)

*2017 TITLE FROM MP DOWN*
Taipei City - Elina Svitolina, UKR (4 MP - QF/Jabeur)
Prague - Mona Barthel, GER (3 MP - Q2/Paolini)
CINCINNATI - GARBINE MUGUURZA, ESP (3 MP - 3rd/Keys)

*2017 DEFEATED #1 SEED & DEFENDING CHAMP*
[won title]
GARBINE MUGURUZA - CINCINNATI [SF-Ka.Pliskova]
[didn't win title]
Alison Riske - Shenzhen [QF-A.Radwanska] = RU
CoCo Vandeweghe - Australian Open [3r-Kerber] = SF
Kristina Mladenovic - Stuttgart [2r-Kerber] = RU

*SUB-.500 WINNING PCT. IN 2017 WTA FINALS*
.000 - Wozniacki (0-6)
.000 - Goerges (0-3)
.000 - Hibino (0-2)
.000 - V.Williams (0-2)
.333 - Kontaveit (1-2)
.250 - HALEP (1-3)
.250 - Mladenovic (1-3)

*2015-17 WTA FINALS*
14 - 5/8/1...Kerber (7-7)
13 - 6/4/3...Ka.Pliskova (6-7)
12 - 5/3/4...HALEP (7-5)
11 - 3/2/6...Wozniacki (3-8)
11 - 5/5/1...S.Williams (8-3)
9 - 1/3/4...Svitolina (7-2)

*2017 WTA SF*
7 - KAROLINA PLISKOVA (2-4+W)
6 - Caroline Wozniacki (6-0)
6 - Elina Svitolina (5-1)
6 - SIMONA HALEP (4-2)
6 - Johanna Konta (3-2+L)
6 - GARBINE MUGURUZA (2-4)
[2015-17]
21 - KAROLINA PLISKOVA [8/6/7]
21 - SIMONA HALEP [9/6/6]
21 - Angelique Kerber [8/11/2]
19 - Elina Svitolina [6/7/6]
18 - Aga Radwanska [8/9/1]
17 - Caroline Wozniacki [7/4/6]
16 - Serena Williams [9/6/1]
14 - GARBINE MUGURUZA [5/3/6]

*2017 LOW-RANKED WTA SF*
NR - Maria Sharapova/RUS (Stuttgart)
#934 Sloane Stephens/USA (Toronto)
#340 Jana Fett/CRO (Hobart)
#254 Barbora Krejcikova/CZE (Nurnberg) - RU
#233 Marketa Vondrousova/CZE (Biel) - W
#168 Francesca Schiavone/ITA (Bogota) - W
#158 Ash Barty/AUS (Kuala Lumpur) - W
#151 SLOANE STEPHENS/USA (CINCINNATI)

*MUGURUZA #1 WINS*
2014 Serena Williams (RG QF)
2016 Serena Williams (RG F)
2017 Angelique Kerber (Wimbledon 4th)
2017 Karolina Pliskova (Cincinnati SF)

*RECENT MULTIPLE WINS OVER DIFF. #1 PLAYERS IN SEASON*
2008 Dinara Safina (3)
2009 Venus Williams (2)
2010 Samantha Stosur (2)
2011-15 = none
2016 Elina Svitolina (2)
2017 Garbine Muguruza (2)*
-
*- def. Kerber (Wimbledon), Pliskova (Cincinnati)

*2017 WD FINALS - INDIVIDUALS*
8...CHAN YUNG-JAN (6-1+W)
7...MARTINA HINGIS (5-1+W)
5...Ash Barty (3-2)
5...Casey Dellacqua (3-2)
5...Ekaterina Makarova (3-2)
5...Elena Vesnina (3-2)
5...Andrea Hlavackova (2-3)

*HINGIS WD RECORD w/ 2017 PARTNERS*
38-6 - Chan Yung-Jan (6 titles)
3-1 - Timea Bacsinszky
2-2 - CoCo Vandweghe
1-1 - Belinda Bencic

*MIRZA WD RECORD w/ 2017 PARTNERS*
15-6 - Barbora Strycova (1-1 finals)
4-0 - Bethanie Mattek-Sands (1-0 finals)
3-1 - Peng Shuai
2-1 - Kirsten Flipkens
2-4 - Yaroslava Shvedova
1-0 - CoCo Vandeweghe
1-1 - Andrea Hlavackova
1-1 - Monica Niculescu

*ALL-TIME WTA DOUBLES TITLES*
177 - Martina Navratilova
112 - Rosie Casals
106 - Pam Shriver
101 - Billie Jean King
80 - Natasha Zvereva
79 - Lisa Raymond
76 - Jana Novotna
69 - Arantxa Sanchez Vicario
68 - Helena Sukova
68 - Gigi Fernandez
66 - Larisa Savchenko Neiland
61 - MARTINA HINGIS
60 - Rennae Stubbs
60 - Cara Black

*WTA DOUBLES #1's*
1984 Martina Navratilova, USA (former TCH)
1985 Pam Shriver, USA
1990 Helena Sukova, TCH
1990 Jana Novotna, TCH/CZE
1991 Gigi Fernandez, USA
1991 Natalia Zvereva, USSR/BLR
1992 Larisa Neiland, LAT (former USSR)
1995 Arantxa Sanchez Vicario, ESP
1997 Lindsay Davenport, USA
1998 Martina Hingis, SUI
1999 Anna Kournikova, RUS
2000 Corina Morariu, USA
2000 Lisa Raymond, USA
2000 Rennae Stubbs, AUS
2000 Julie Halard-Decugis, FRA
2000 Ai Sugiyama, JPN
2002 Paola Suarez, ARG
2003 Kim Clijsters, BEL
2003 Virginia Ruano Pascual, ESP
2005 Cara Black, ZIM
2006 Samantha Stosur, AUS
2007 Liezel Huber, RSA/USA
2010 Serena Williams, USA
2010 Venus Williams, USA
2010 Gisela Dulko, ARG
2011 Flavia Pennetta, ITA
2011 Kveta Peschke, CZE
2011 Katarina Srebotnik, SLO
2012 Sara Errani, ITA
2012 Roberta Vinci, ITA
2014 Peng Shuai, CHN
2014 Hsieh Su-Wei, TPE
2015 Sania Mirza, IND
2017 Bethanie Mattek-Sands, USA
2017 Lucie Safarova, CZE

*2017 PREMIER MANDATORY/PREMIER 5 CHAMPIONS*
Dubai - Elina Svitolina, UKR
Indian Wells - Elena Vesnina, RUS
Miami - Johanna Konta, GBR
Madrid - Simona Halep, ROU
Rome - Elina Svitolina, UKR
Toronto - Elina Svitolina, UKR
Cincinnati - Garbine Muguruza, ESP
Wuhan - (Sept.)
Beijing - (Oct.)
[doubles]
Dubai - Makarova/Vesnina, RUS/RUS
Indian Wells - Y.Chan/Hingis, TPE/SUI
Miami - Dabrowski/Xu Yifan, CAN/CHN
Madrid - Y.Chan/Hingis, TPE/SUI
Rome - Y.Chan/Hingis, TPE/SUI
Toronto - Makarova/Vesnina, RUS/RUS
Cincinnati - Y.Chan/Hingis, TPE/SUI


No, it's not tennis, but it's surely somewhat addictive. I know I've been sidetracked a bit of late by SafariLive on YouTube, which (often) features the beautiful young leopard named Tamba...



They feature two live (then achived) three-hour, multiple-guide African safari rides every day, and you never know what you might see. This one from earlier this week was quite something. From the "elephant pool party" (00:25), to the three successive (and successful) hunts by one of the lion prides (1:41, 2:03 and 2:21) -- just for the sake of doing it, it seems, as the fields are currently full of migrating wildebeest, zebras and gazelles -- and the many sit-besides with the always curious Tamba (1:04, 1:21, 1:34, 1:49 & 2:34), whose actions often remind you so much of a house cat it's spooky, it was a fascinating look-in on the peaceful, sometimes lighthearted, always beautiful, but also brutal aspects of animal life in the wild.







NEW HAVEN, CONNECTICUT USA [Premier/Hard]
16 Singles Final: A.Radwanska d. Svitolina
16 Doubles Final: Mirza/Niculescu d. K.Bondarenko/Chuang
17 Top Seeds: A.Radwanska/Cibulkova
=============================
=SF=
Kontaveit d. Gavrilova
#3 Kvitova d. #2 Cibulkova
=FINAL=
#3 Kvitova d. Kontaveit



=DOUBLES FINAL=
#2 Barty/Dellacqua d. #1 Mirza/Niculescu


ALSO: U.S. Open qualifying


All for now.

posted by Todd.Spiker @ 11:00 PM 

16 Comments:

Blogger colt13 said...


Stat of the Week-7- The amount of singles titles won by countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States before Russia won one.

"Anna Kournikova is #1 for sure." Kuznetsova said it, but it fits this week's theme, as she will prove to be one of the 3 most important Russian women from the Dead Era.

But before I get to that, this idea came about because of Svitolina, who at one point last week, was #3 in the live rankings. If she can reach #1, she would be the 4th from the Commonwealth to have reached #1, after Azarenka(Belarus), Sharapova & Safina(Russia).

The Soviet Union reached it's end in 1991, so let's take a look back at then, and how Russia and others, changed because of it.

The Commonwealth members are Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Krygystan, who did have Ksenia Palkina crack the Top 200, Moldova, Russia, Tajikstan, Uzbekistan. Turkmenistan and Ukraine are associate members, and Georgia is a former one, but I am combining them for this.

In 1991, and for comparison, I will just use the French Open through the years, the Soviets only had 4 players in the singles draw. Leila Meskhi, Larisa Neiland, Natalia Zvereva and Elena Brioukhovets. All 4 won titles during the regular season, Meskhi in singles, and the rest in doubles w/Brioukhovets winning with Soviet Natalia Medvedeva. Meskhi was the only Soviet in the Top 20(15) at year end while Neiland(2) and Zvereva(3) did well in doubles.

In 92, The slams went under the commonwealth, while the regular tour used the new countries/republics. Neiland played for Latvia since they weren't a member in the French, but 5 others did, including Eugenia Maniokova, the only woman playing for Russia on the regular tour.

Medvedeva, now playing for the Ukraine, won a title in Feb 92, getting the newbies off to a good start. The women that represented the new countries(including Neiland) won 20 doubles titles. Russia won nothing.

93 came along, and there were 5 former Soviets in the draw(Belarus-2,Latvia, Ukraine, Georgia), while Russia had none. To show how times change, Argentina had 7, although they haven't had one since 2014, when Ormaechea reached the 3rd rd. However, Russia got their first title, a mixed at the French w/Maniokova and Andrei Olhovskiy.

94 was a dry year for both as neither old or new picked up a singles title, so time to put up the list of who the 7 were.
Natalia Medvedeva-Ukraine-3
Elena Likhotseva-Kazakhstan-2
Leila Meskhi-Georgia-1
Natalia Zvereva-Belarus-1

95 was also uneventful, but 96 marked a change as Likhotseva started to represent Russia. She also did so at the Olympics, as did Kournikova and Elena Makarova, making this the coming out party for the Russians.

97 is when the Kournikova era kicks in with the Wimbledon SF, and the 98 Miami final, but not only has Kournikova not won a title, nobody else has-in singles or doubles. In Jan 98, one of those streaks stopped, as Likhovtseva w/ Ai Sugiyama won Gold Coast. They also would catch fire in Oct/Nov, winning 3 more tournaments.

That gets us to 1999, the year Kournikova ended up #1 in doubles. Ironically, this was overshadowed by what happened at Palermo. In July 1999, the 8th season played under the Russian flag, they finally got their first singles title with Anastasia Myskina winning it. Fittingly enough, making her first career SF here? Elena Dementieva. Five years later, themet in an all Russian final at the French, being the last 2 standing of 12 in the draw.

So for a 7 year span, Russia was really only Maniokova, Likhovtseva and Kournikova. They helped plant the seeds for a dynasty.

Quiz Below

*Likhovtseva's 97 win has been listed in places for KAZ and RUS.

Mon Aug 21, 11:54:00 AM EDT  
Blogger colt13 said...

Literally any of 20 women could win this week. Was leaning towards Tsurenko, but Pliskova and Bogdan got put in her section.

Halep will have to back into #1, as she seems to have a mental block. Admittedly, Muguruza was playing well, but the level of her play in the match to be #1 has gotten worse with each successive one.

What Muguruza did was to take a proverbial can opener to the #1 ranking. Instead of Halep being at 6700, she will be around 5955 with the USO points off, leaving 8 people with a chance to be #1. Not Kerber, but even Venus, although she is like the 8-7 football team heading into week 17, needs to win and get a ton of help.

Oudin had a magical slam run, a tour title, and a mixed title. Not bad.

Quiz Time!
1.Before Svitolina, Alona Bondarenko was the Ukranian with the highest ranking. Which other republics, not counting those that have reached #1, have had a player ranked 19 or higher?

2.Twelve women from Russia entered the 2004 French Open. How many of those did not reach the Top 5?

3.There have been 5 women from the Ukraine to have been Top 30 in singles. Name 4 of the 5?


Like a New Haven rain delay.









Answers!
1. Two. Although Varvara Lepchenko did get to 19, she did so for the US, not Uzbekistan. But Iroda Tulyaganova did reach 16, so they are one. The other? Mainly due to timing. Meskhi was 15 heading into 1992, and got up to 13 that year while representing Georgia.

2.Only 5. And I will list career highs for them all, just to show the depth of this class.

Alina Jidkova-51
Vera Duchevina-31
Elena Likhovtseva-15
Elena Bovina-14
Maria Kirilenko-10

Elena Dementieva-3
Nadia Petrova-3
Svetlana Kuznetsova-2
Anastasia Myskina-2
Vera Zvonareva-2
Maria Sharapova-1
Dinara Safina-1

Jidkova might be the lesser of the bunch, but played 17 yrs combined between WTA/ITF. Fun fact about the last 2 years of her career? She managed to play Galina Voskoboeva, who she later coached. Her last WTA MD match? 2009 against Kerber.

3.The not correct answer? Julia Vakulenko was seeded at a slam, but 32 was as high as she got. Disappeared suddenly also.

Lesia Tsurenko-29
Kateryna Bondarenko-29
Natalia Medvedeva-23
Alona Bondarenko-19
Elina Svitolina-4

Mon Aug 21, 12:22:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Todd.Spiker said...

That's a really good example of how complicated the whole tennis history of the USSR, Russia, all the offshoots, and number of players who played under multiple flags really is.

I'd lost track of Likhovtseva having actually been born in KAZ and that very early switch. Of course, later it was Kazakhstan that was swallowing up players from Russia and elsewhere.

ESPN will surely have a field day with the ongoing race for #1 during the Open. Not sure if that's a good thing or not. :\

Ah, yes, I remember Vakulenko. She announced she was going to play for Spain at one point, and I'm not sure what happened after that. I did a quick search, and there *is* a realtor in Tampa named Julia Vakulenko. I don't THINK it's her, but her bio says she's originally from Ukraine and she doesn't look all that different from the photos of the tennis player that came up in a Google search. Hmmm.

*QUIZ*
1. I think I whiffed on this one, as I misunderstood the question when I read it. I was thinking of the Baltic states when I came up with answers (Kanepi/EST, Ostapenko & Sevastova/LAT, etc.), though I had though that maybe Shvedova had been Top 20 singles as a Kazakh.

2. First I tried to come up with the twelve Russians in the draw. I did pretty well there:

Correct: Sharapova, Myskina, Dementieva, Kuznetsova, Kirilenko, Safina, Zvonareva, Petrova, Likhovsteva, Bovina

Incorrect: Chakvetadze & Bardina

So I missed on Jidkova and Dushevina (so many spellings of her name over the years) there. I'd picked Kirilenko, Likhovsteva, Bovina and Bardina(x) as the non-Top 5 players. So I got three of the five.

3. Since you only said four, I got those pretty quickly: Svitolina, Tsurenko and the Bondarenko sisters. I never even got around to Medvedeva. ;)

So, a mixed bag. But not *too* bad this week.

Mon Aug 21, 07:03:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Diane said...

I heard, several years ago (can't confirm it) that Vakulenko had become compulsively religious and all of her energy went into that. She once yelled at me in frustration continually during a match because there was no coach around to yell at. (Patty once did that, too, but she at least more or less knew who I was.)

Mon Aug 21, 09:56:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Todd.Spiker said...

At least she didn't tell you to go watch your flat earth videos. :)

(That one got personal fast, didn't it?)

Mon Aug 21, 10:46:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Diane said...

"Watching your flat-Earth videos" has to be the "check her blood pressure" of 2017! If it weren't for the CT Open eclipse video (wouldn't you love to see the outtakes?), Putintseva's "moment" would have been my biggest laugh of the week.

And yes, let's make sure the WTA has more drama, since it doesn't have enough 🙄

Tue Aug 22, 12:03:00 AM EDT  
Blogger colt13 said...

Diane, Vakulenko yelled at you? I don't believe that. The odds of that happening are the same as us having a total eclipse.

I do want your take on Halep, especially since you were there. Mental block or Garbine just too good?

Tue Aug 22, 10:48:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Diane said...

Garbi was very dominant and smooth, to be sure, but Simona did one of her "deer in the headlights" impressions. She was flat from the first moment, and let Muguruza dictate. Also, spraying errors all over the place. The more dominant Mugu was, the more hesitant Simona became. Not pretty.

Tue Aug 22, 05:51:00 PM EDT  
Blogger colt13 said...

Colt's Challenge, or whatever Todd wants to call it, will be up once Connecticut gets it's SF. Although their winner hasn't won the USO since Venus did it back to back in 2000-01.

Ironically, Venus is the highest ranked player to not make the preliminary cut.

Wed Aug 23, 02:06:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Todd.Spiker said...

Colt's Big Apple Battledome Blow-out? ;)

Wed Aug 23, 05:41:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

Nine women could be WTA number one. And three men. Are the nine and 12 total each a record? It feels it. NINE WOMEN. How is that even possible?
If Sveta wins the US and becomes number one I truly dont know if id like her anymore. Thats not what shes about man. I hope Muguruza gets it personally. She feels like the number one.

Thu Aug 24, 09:58:00 AM EDT  
Blogger colt13 said...

The Connecticut SF are set, so here it comes, before the draw comes out.

How to pick the US Open winner.

As the final slam of the year, there are challenges to finding trends. There is also the question as to what numbers to use, such as should I use the IW/Miami hardcourt results, or just stick with the summer series? The answer is only the summer, leaving us with only 6 tournaments. 3 of those played after Wimbledon were on clay, so if you are wondering why Bertens and Kontaveit are not on the list, that is why.

With using the standard procedure of taking the winner, runner up, and SF, there are only 24 women to start from, barring duplicates, I have to widen the pool just a bit. You see, the USO winner has reached the QF or better 14 of the last 20 years. So we will use the 2016 USO QF too.

Also, Cinci has become really relevant. Since it moved up to a premier in 2009, the USO winner has reached the QF or better there every year except one(Pennetta-2015). So add their QF also. Sadly I can't use the numbers from San Diego, as they used to serve the same purpose. Between 1997-2006, the San Diego winner won the USO six times.

28 women start-Peng, Hibino, Wang, Han, Keys, Vandeweghe, Muguruza, Bellis, Makarova, Goerges, Dodin, Petkovic, Svitolina, Wozniacki, Stephens, Halep, Pliskova, Kerber, S.Williams, Konjuh, Sevastova, Vinci, Kuznetsova, Konta, Mertens, Gavrilova, Radwanska, Cibulkova.

If you notice, the last 4 are from the current tournament, lets see if they stay in.

The USO is a little different in that unseeded women have had success. Clijsters won, plus Vinci-2015, and V.Williams-1997, have both reached the final. So the unseeded will not be the first cut. That will be Serena.

The first 3 slams have shown what it takes to win. Williams beat 3 Top 20 players at the AO, Ostapenko 2 at the French, and Muguruza 3 at Wimbledon. So at the very least, you should be expected to have at least 2 Top 20 wins this season to continue. So this cuts Hibino, Wang, Han, Dodin, Petkovic, and Vinci. Three more get cut, Mertens is still playing, but has 0 regular Top 20 wins(0-7), though she had 2 in Fed Cup. Go figure. Anyway, Gavrilova is at 26, so even if Mertens wins on Fri and Sat, she can only pick up 1. She is out. So is Kerber, the former #1 who doesn't have any Top 20 wins on the season(0-8). The last cut for this round is a mild surprise in Keys, as her two wins against Vandeweghe were 24 and (gasp) 21.

Down to 18, so I need to make one more cut. So we go by the Serena Streak. We had a 12 year streak, starting from after Myskina in 2004 in which everybody that won a slam had beat Serena at least once. Modifiying that somewhat, it still leads me to believe that in most cases, Ostapenko not included, you need to have beaten a number 1 to win a slam. So we lose our last 5 here, starting with the youngster in Bellis, then Konjuh and Sevastova. Peng deserves so notice for being around long enough to have played Davenport when she was #1, but lost to her, as well as Henin, Safina, Williams, and Wozniacki. The last cut might surprise you, as it is Stephens. She beat Serena, but when she was #3. Just has a boatload of losses to Williams and Azarenka when they were #1.

So the baker's dozen? Vandeweghe, Muguruza, Makarova, Goerges, Svitolina, Wozniacki, Halep, Pliskova, Kuznetsova, Konta, Gavrilova, Cibulkova, Radwanska.

Makarova is the only unseeded player, but has 8 Top 20 wins, Pliskova leads this group with 12.Lowest? Cibulkova with 2, counting today, when she beat #20 Pavlyuchenkova, and Radwanska with 3, her wins? #19, #20 and #20.

Goerges and Radwanska got their #1 wins vs Wozniacki, and half(actually 6) got their wins vs Kerber since the USO last year.

Thu Aug 24, 10:14:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Todd.Spiker said...

Well, that's a pretty admirable (and legitimate potential winner's) list, so I'd think the third time will be the charm for The Challenge. :)

(Unless, say, someone like Sloane, Keys or Ostapenko wins, or course.) ;)

Maybe Goerges or Gavrilova -- probably tte two longest shots there -- will qualify to keep that streak going of majors with first-time slam semifinalists. Or Svitolina.

Sat Aug 26, 11:07:00 AM EDT  
Blogger colt13 said...

10 On the Up Side-the US Wide Open Edition

1.Svitolina-The pick to win. 5 titles in 2017, and the fact that we have has a non slam winner in the final each of the last 3 years may me it is her time. Admittedly has a tough draw, but sticking with her.
2.Kerber-Not a pick to win, but of the elite players, got the best draw. Would have picked a healthy Osaka, but if Kerber wins that match, QF is possible.
3.Goerges-If there is ever a time for the most talented player without a slam QF to get one, this is it. Would make her the favorite over Konta if they meet in the 3rd round, unless it is under the roof. Has never been past the 3rd rd here in 10 tries.
4.Muguruza-Has been the best player since the 2nd week of Wimbledon. She won Cincinnati. So why isn't she the favorite? Because her last name isn't Williams. Venus and Serena have each done it twice, but the last non Williams to win Wimbledon and the USO back to back? Hingis in 1997. She will win the USO one day, just not this year.
5.Keys-Has the talent to win, but has a huge problem. And to prove my point, I will go way over the top. Keys in a night match first on-good. Keys in a night match second on, after Isner has gone 5 sets with 3 tiebreaks-bad. That arm/wrist probably won't be fully healthy till next year, so she needs optimum conditions, and the rain loss to Muguruza confirmed that.
6.Wozniacki-Even though she is 7-0 vs Makarova, I don't like the matchup. This has been her best slam by far, reaching the final twice and the SF 3 times in 10 tries. The other 3 slams? 1 SF in 31 attempts.
7.Safarova-The post Mattek-Sands era begins with Kontaveit and Bellis. Tough draw, but QF is a possibility.
8.Pliskova-3 months ago, she would have been the favorite here. She has been patchy since Indian Wells, but has still managed to go deep in most tournaments. If it happens, a fun clash with Mladenovic.
9.Mladenovic. Already has a QF here. The last two years(Bouchard-15, Vinci-16), there has been one slumping player that has found their mojo here. If Kiki can win her first match, it may be her.
10.Tsurenko-Actually has a 4th rd to defend here. Possible matchup with Kerber. Doesn't really have a rivalry with Svitolina, but her play normally picks up after Svitolina wins a title.

Sat Aug 26, 11:13:00 AM EDT  
Blogger colt13 said...

10 On the Down Side

1.Minor-C.Liu qualified, so this doesn't look as bad. Statistically, the college WC has lost on an average 6-2,6-2. The bright spot is that instead of getting a seed, she get Jabeur, who has never won a match at the USO.
2.Gjorcheska-The Macedonian, along with Lottner is one of the few I thought would make it through qualies that didn't. Her coming out party may have been the loss to Vondrousova at Biel, where she hung on for a set before fading. If she schedules properly-think Quebec City and Tashkent, this should be the last main draw she will miss.
3.Osaka-Along with Vondrousova and Sharapova, these are the women most questionable to make it to post time. Has not played since the ret vs Pliskova, and has points to defend here. One thing to note about her injury-although ranked 46, she was in qualies in Toronto, and got injured in her 5th match there.
4.Halep-Was going to be on this list anyway because of her struggle to get over the #1 hump, but the Sharapova(Masha 6-0) match just puts this over the edge. Has the feel of the Williams/Azarenka USO match from 2011. Azarenka lost, but won the next slam. Halep your 2018 Australian Open Champ?
5.Sharapova-Hasn't played in a month, so it is the perfect time to catch Halep. If she wins, no belief that she can back it up, but getting that Top 5 win would be good for her psyche. Also down because Kanepi(32), Zvonareva(32) and Schnyder(38) seem healthier.
6.Bertens-Has a QF type draw, but on because of poor scheduling. Won Gstaad on clay, but didn't play a hardcourt match until Cinci. 1-2 on hard this summer.
7.Kontaveit-Bad draw, and is the player that faced Bertens at Gstaad. Same problem for her, as she will make a slam QF or better soon, but not here. 0-2 on hard this summer.
8.Bouchard-Mainly because of the draw. Has really changed the narrative of her game, as her backhand is now one of the Top 20 in the game. The forehand leaks errors, so a Wozniacki type willing to rally(or Radwanska earlier this week) can cause problems. Svitolina match should be fun, as she plays to the level of her competition.
9.Radwanska-Didn't even have a problem with her playing Connecticut, because she has never made it past the 4th rd(5 times) at the USO. And with her not being able to defend her points from last year, she will be out of the Top 10 on Monday.
10.Rogers-Surprisingly has a winning record on the year. Hasn't won a hard court match since Miami. Ranked much higher than Day, but is not an upset if she loses.

Sat Aug 26, 11:46:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Todd.Spiker said...

Thing is, if you take away that 1st Round match, Halep actually has a pretty nice draw to at least the QF. Big "if"...

Speaking of "if"... "if" Mladenovic makes it to that Pliskova match. ;)

I wonder if getting things at least partially in order in New Haven (her first win in months) might give Lucic a boost going into the other HC slam. Puig 1st Round, probably CSN 2nd, then either Wozniacki/Makarova after that. If she could get on a roll, maybe she's got an encore in her?

Sat Aug 26, 10:32:00 PM EDT  

Post a Comment

<< Home